With so much time spent flying between Europe and Asia and being having to accept bad airline service since I didn’t have a choice, I somehow manage to thinker and contemplate on how can we as individuals or organizations predict future technologies. Of course it is fair to say that predicting the correct technology in the future for a particular application or service is very very hard… and in this case only a few manage and become very very rich… Now I know of a man called James Martin, considered by many as the father of modern IT having been responsible for the “outbreak” of information engineering and have accurately picked technologies in his future. If we can only do that we can perhaps anticipate the next big thing… The question is how? Is there a method to the madness? Is it an art? Or is it pure luck?
We have seen a handful few in our lifetime achieve such a feat, Bill Gates and Steve Jobs are shining examples so as a few others. How do we emulate them? It is a gift? A skill that we learn or a knowledge that we adopt? Or is it a product of our own creativity and in some cases a moment of insanity?
Is there anyone out there who can give a single clue on how to invent the future, without having to charge a huge amount of money for doing so? There are a few people that lays claim to such talent but then again they want you to pay for their insight whether it is buying a book or paying huge consulting fees, which by the most large companies do.
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